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Table 9 Market situation, leveraged ESOPs and crash risk

From: Employee stock ownership plan and stock price crash risk

Variable

Pre-disaster

In-disaster

Post-disaster

NCSKEW (1)

NCSKEW (2)

DUVOL (3)

DUVOL (4)

NCSKEW (5)

NCSKEW (6)

DUVOL (7)

DUVOL (8)

NCSKEW (9)

NCSKEW (10)

DUVOL (11)

DUVOL (12)

Dum_Lev_ESOP i,t-1

0.087

 

0.019

 

0.015b

 

0.011a

 

0.08b

 

0.03a

 

(0.89)

 

(0.23)

 

(2.21)

 

(1.72)

 

(2.44)

 

(1.73)

 

Lev_ESOP i,t-1

 

−0.003

 

0.005

 

−0.004

 

−0.011

 

0.026b

 

0.014a

 

(−0.13)

 

(0.27)

 

(−0.19)

 

(−0.78)

 

(2.57)

 

(1.83)

ESOP i,t-1

−0.217c

−0.188c

− 0.16b

−0.156c

0.015

0.024

−0.004

0

−0.053a

−0.035b

− 0.042b

−0.039b

(− 2.84)

(− 2.64)

(− 2.47)

(− 2.62)

(0.25)

(0.46)

(− 0.09)

(− 0.01)

(− 1.89)

(− 2.41)

(− 2.05)

(− 2.12)

Dturn i,t-1

− 0.049a

−0.049a

− 0.023

−0.022

− 0.047c

−0.047c

− 0.03c

−0.03c

0.014

0.014

0.01

0.01

(− 1.94)

(− 1.95)

(− 1.07)

(− 1.05)

(−3.04)

(−3.07)

(− 2.59)

(− 2.61)

(1.51)

(1.52)

(1.53)

(1.53)

Hret i,t-1

0.622c

0.63c

0.48c

0.48c

0.866c

0.865c

0.667c

0.667c

1.093c

1.094c

0.859c

0.86c

(7.21)

(7.29)

(6.25)

(6.27)

(5.88)

(5.88)

(5.69)

(5.69)

(11.43)

(11.43)

(10.95)

(10.96)

Sigma i,t-1

−18.779c

− 18.734c

− 12.917b

− 12.897b

10.535b

10.646b

10.024c

10.086c

−2.894

− 2.792

−1.116

−1.061

(− 2.92)

(− 2.91)

(− 2.36)

(− 2.36)

(2.28)

(2.31)

(2.86)

(2.89)

(−1.15)

(−1.11)

(−0.60)

(− 0.58)

MB i,t-1

0.018

0.018

0.013

0.013

0.018b

0.018b

0.011a

0.011a

0.012b

0.012b

0.007a

0.007a

(1.42)

(1.43)

(1.23)

(1.22)

(2.23)

(2.24)

(1.84)

(1.86)

(2.37)

(2.33)

(1.76)

(1.73)

Size i,t-1

0.045

0.048

0.052

0.052

0.06

0.06

0.077b

0.077b

−0.04b

− 0.042b

− 0.054c

− 0.055c

(0.87)

(0.92)

(1.18)

(1.19)

(1.44)

(1.44)

(2.42)

(2.43)

(−2.15)

(− 2.26)

(−3.95)

(−4.01)

Lev i,t-1

0.223

0.207

0.029

0.028

0.096

0.097

0.043

0.043

0.099

0.109

0.032

0.035

(0.92)

(0.86)

(0.14)

(0.14)

(0.52)

(0.52)

(0.31)

(0.31)

(1.08)

(1.20)

(0.47)

(0.52)

ROA i,t-1

−0.028

−0.031

− 0.024

− 0.024

− 0.024

− 0.024a

− 0.024b

− 0.024b

− 0.031c

−0.031c

− 0.034c

−0.034c

(−1.30)

(− 1.45)

(− 1.33)

(− 1.34)

(− 1.65)

(− 1.66)

(−2.19)

(−2.17)

(− 4.12)

(− 4.08)

(−6.18)

(− 6.16)

DA i,t-1

− 0.082

− 0.086

0.044

0.044

−0.185

− 0.183

− 0.305a

− 0.296a

− 0.19

− 0.189

− 0.111

−0.11

(−0.22)

(−0.23)

(0.14)

(0.14)

(−0.79)

(−0.78)

(− 1.73)

(− 1.67)

(− 1.52)

(− 1.52)

(− 1.22)

(− 1.21)

NCSKEW i,t-1

0.184b

0.195b

  

0.215c

0.215c

  

0.108c

0.109c

  

(2.22)

(2.37)

  

(5.17)

(5.17)

  

(5.97)

(6.00)

  

DUVOL i,t-1

  

0.056

0.057

  

0.252c

0.253c

  

0.141c

0.141c

  

(0.72)

(0.73)

  

(6.04)

(6.07)

  

(6.82)

(6.84)

Intercept

−1.052

−1.061

−1.476

−1.479

−2.253b

−2.257b

−2.487c

−2.494c

0.961b

1.006b

1.34c

1.354c

(−0.84)

(−0.85)

(−1.40)

(−1.41)

(−2.20)

(−2.21)

(−3.21)

(−3.22)

(2.16)

(2.26)

(4.12)

(4.17)

Fix_ind

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Fix_time

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

 

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Adj-R 2

0.2236

0.2215

0.201

0.2013

0.0949

0.0949

0.1112

0.1121

0.1377

0.1378

0.1453

0.1457

No. of obs.

354

354

354

354

662

662

662

662

3816

3816

3816

3816

  1. Notes. This table presents the influence of ESOP leverage on stock price crash risk over three sub samples: pre-disaster (samples before June 2015), in-disaster (samples from June 2015 to October 2015) and post-disaster (samples after October 2015). The empirical test equation is:
  2. \( {CrashRisk}_{i,t}={\alpha}_0+{\alpha}_1\times Dum\_ lev\_{ESOP}_{i,t-1}\left( Lev\_{ESOP}_{i,t-1}\right)+{\alpha}_2\times {ESOP}_{i,t-1}+{\alpha}_3\times Control\kern0.3em {Variables}_{t-1}+{\varepsilon}_{i,t} \)
  3. The t-statistics, reported in parentheses, are based on standard errors clustered by both firm and time. Time and industry fixed effects are included. Here a, b, and c indicate statistical significance at the 10%, 5%, and 1% levels, respectively